Rhineland-Palatinate
Election trend
Parties

Rhineland-Palatinate: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 11.03.2021

Polling data

SPD
33.0
±0.0
CDU
29.0
±0.0
Grüne
10.0
-1.0
AfD
9.0
±0.0
FDP
6.5
-0.5
FW
5.0
+1.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
4.5
+0.5
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
SPD
-2.7
CDU
+1.3
Grüne
+0.7
AfD
+0.7
FDP
+1.0
FW
-0.4
Linke
+0.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1735 respondents – 08.03.2021-11.03.2021
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Rhineland-Palatinate is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Rhineland-Palatinate - The latest poll for the State election in Rhineland-Palatinate from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: SPD 33%, CDU 29%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 10%, AfD 9%, FDP 6.5%, Freie Wähler 5% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Rhineland-Palatinate this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.3 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Malu Dreyer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 53.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1735 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (08.03.2021 - 11.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

101
SPD
36
Grüne
11
FDP
7
CDU
32
FW
5
AfD
10
Majority requires 51 seats
SPD + CDU
68
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP + Freie Wähler
55
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
54
CDU + AfD + FDP + Freie Wähler
54
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Freie Wähler
52
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
50
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
47

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Rhineland-Palatinate was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 08.03.2021 and 11.03.2021 among 1735 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 33%, CDU 29%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 10%, AfD 9%, FDP 6.5%, Freie Wähler 5% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.