Rhineland-Palatinate
Election trend
Parties

Rhineland-Palatinate: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 17.10.2022

Polling data

SPD
26.0
-8.5
CDU
25.5
-1.0
AfD
15.0
+8.5
Grüne
10.0
-4.0
FDP
7.0
+2.0
FW
6.5
±0.0
Linke
2.0
±0.0
Sonst.
8.0
+3.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
SPD
-9.7
CDU
-2.2
AfD
+6.7
Grüne
+0.7
FDP
+1.5
FW
+1.1
Linke
-0.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1023 respondents – 14.10.2022-17.10.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Rhineland-Palatinate is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Rhineland-Palatinate - The latest poll for the State election in Rhineland-Palatinate from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: SPD 26%, CDU 25.5%, AfD 15%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 10%, FDP 7%, Freie Wähler 6.5% and Die Linke 2%. If an election were held in Rhineland-Palatinate this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Malu Dreyer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 47.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1023 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (14.10.2022 - 17.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

101
SPD
29
Grüne
11
FDP
8
CDU
29
FW
7
AfD
17
Majority requires 51 seats
SPD + CDU
58
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP + Freie Wähler
55
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP + Freie Wähler
55
CDU + AfD + FDP
54
CDU + AfD + Freie Wähler
53
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
48
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
48

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Rhineland-Palatinate was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 14.10.2022 and 17.10.2022 among 1023 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 26%, CDU 25.5%, AfD 15%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 10%, FDP 7%, Freie Wähler 6.5% and Die Linke 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.