Thuringia
Election trend
Parties

Thuringia: Poll by INSA from 02.02.2021

Polling data

Linke
31.0
-2.0
AfD
23.0
+1.0
CDU
22.0
±0.0
Grüne
8.0
+2.0
SPD
7.0
-2.0
FDP
6.0
+1.0
Sonst.
3.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 27.10.2019
Linke
±0.0
AfD
-0.4
CDU
+0.2
Grüne
+2.8
SPD
-1.2
FDP
+1.0
INSA – 1000 respondents – 27.01.2021-02.02.2021
Next election: 01.09.2024
The next general election in Thuringia will be held in 126.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the State election in Thüringen from INSA shows the following results: Die Linke 31%, AfD 23%, CDU 22%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8%, SPD 7% and FDP 6%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.8 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Bodo Ramelow is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, Die Linke and SPD. With 47.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (27.01.2021 - 02.02.2021).

Coalition possibilities

88
Linke
28
SPD
6
Grüne
7
FDP
6
CDU
20
AfD
21
Majority requires 45 seats
Die Linke + AfD
49
Die Linke + CDU
48
AfD + CDU + FDP
47
Die Linke + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD
41

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 27.01.2021 and 02.02.2021 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Die Linke 31%, AfD 23%, CDU 22%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8%, SPD 7% and FDP 6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.