Thuringia
Election trend
Parties

Thuringia: Poll by INSA from 04.10.2021

Polling data

AfD
24.0
+2.0
SPD
21.0
+12.0
Linke
20.0
-7.0
CDU
15.0
-6.0
FDP
8.0
±0.0
Grüne
7.0
±0.0
Sonst.
5.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 27.10.2019
AfD
+0.6
SPD
+12.8
Linke
-11.0
CDU
-6.8
FDP
+3.0
Grüne
+1.8
INSA – 1074 respondents – 29.09.2021-04.10.2021
Next election: 01.09.2024
The next general election in Thuringia will be held in 126.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the State election in Thüringen from INSA shows the following results: AfD 24%, SPD 21%, Die Linke 20%, CDU 15%, FDP 8% and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.8 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Bodo Ramelow is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, Die Linke and SPD. With 50.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1074 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (29.09.2021 - 04.10.2021).

Coalition possibilities

88
Linke
19
SPD
19
Grüne
7
FDP
7
CDU
14
AfD
22
Majority requires 45 seats
SPD + CDU + FDP + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
47
SPD + Die Linke + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
45
SPD + CDU + FDP
40

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 29.09.2021 and 04.10.2021 among 1074 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 24%, SPD 21%, Die Linke 20%, CDU 15%, FDP 8% and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.