Thuringia
Election trend
Parties

Thuringia: Poll by Civey from 23.10.2019

Polling data

Linke
30.2
+4.9
AfD
23.2
+0.9
CDU
22.9
-1.3
SPD
8.2
-0.2
Grüne
7.4
-1.8
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
3.1
-2.5
Development since the last election on 27.10.2019
Linke
-0.8
AfD
-0.2
CDU
+1.1
SPD
±0.0
Grüne
+2.2
FDP
±0.0
Civey – 3029 respondents – 25.09.2019-23.10.2019
Next election: 01.09.2024
The next general election in Thuringia will be held in 128.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the State election in Thüringen from Civey shows the following results: Die Linke 30.2%, AfD 23.2%, CDU 22.9%, SPD 8.2%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7.4% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Bodo Ramelow is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, Die Linke and SPD. With 47.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Civey. For this purpose, 3029 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 28 days (25.09.2019 - 23.10.2019).

Coalition possibilities

88
Linke
27
SPD
7
Grüne
7
FDP
5
CDU
21
AfD
21
Majority requires 45 seats
Die Linke + AfD
48
Die Linke + CDU
48
AfD + CDU + FDP
47
Die Linke + SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
41

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by Civey. The survey took place between 25.09.2019 and 23.10.2019 among 3029 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Die Linke 30.2%, AfD 23.2%, CDU 22.9%, SPD 8.2%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7.4% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.