Thuringia
Election trend
Parties

Thuringia: Poll by INSA from 21.10.2019

Polling data

Linke
28.0
-1.0
CDU
24.0
+1.0
AfD
24.0
±0.0
SPD
9.0
±0.0
Grüne
8.0
-1.0
FDP
5.0
+1.0
Sonst.
2.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 27.10.2019
Linke
-3.0
CDU
+2.2
AfD
+0.6
SPD
+0.8
Grüne
+2.8
FDP
±0.0
INSA – 1010 respondents – 14.10.2019-21.10.2019
Next election: 01.09.2024
The next general election in Thuringia will be held in 128.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the State election in Thüringen from INSA shows the following results: Die Linke 28%, CDU 24%, AfD 24%, SPD 9%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.8 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Bodo Ramelow is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, Die Linke and SPD. With 46.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1010 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (14.10.2019 - 21.10.2019).

Coalition possibilities

88
Linke
25
SPD
8
Grüne
7
FDP
4
CDU
22
AfD
22
Majority requires 45 seats
AfD + CDU + FDP
48
Die Linke + AfD
47
Die Linke + CDU
47
AfD + CDU
44
Die Linke + SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
40

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 14.10.2019 and 21.10.2019 among 1010 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Die Linke 28%, CDU 24%, AfD 24%, SPD 9%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.