Thuringia
Election trend
Parties

Thuringia: Poll by INSA from 15.01.2024

Polling data

AfD
31.0
-3.0
CDU
20.0
-2.0
BSW
17.0
+17.0
Linke
15.0
-5.0
SPD
6.0
-3.0
Grüne
5.0
+1.0
FDP
3.0
-1.0
Sonst.
3.0
-4.0
Development since the last election on 27.10.2019
AfD
+7.6
CDU
-1.8
BSW
Linke
-16.0
SPD
-2.2
Grüne
-0.2
FDP
-2.0
INSA – 1000 respondents – 08.01.2024-15.01.2024
Next election: 01.09.2024
The next general election in Thuringia will be held in 126.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the State election in Thüringen from INSA shows the following results: AfD 31%, CDU 20%, BSW 17%, Die Linke 15%, SPD 6%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 5% and FDP 3%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.6 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-16.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Bodo Ramelow is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, Die Linke and SPD. With 27.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (08.01.2024 - 15.01.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Linke
14
SPD
6
Grüne
5
BSW
16
CDU
18
AfD
29
Majority requires 45 seats
AfD + CDU
47
CDU + BSW + SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
45
AfD + BSW
45

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 08.01.2024 and 15.01.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 31%, CDU 20%, BSW 17%, Die Linke 15%, SPD 6%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 5% and FDP 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.