Thuringia: Poll by Infratest dimap from 18.03.2024

Thuringia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
AfD
29.0
-5.0
CDU
20.0
-1.0
Linke
16.0
-4.0
BSW
15.0
+15.0
SPD
9.0
-1.0
Grüne
5.0
±0.0
Others
6.0
-4.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
AfD
-3.8
CDU
-3.6
Linke
+2.9
BSW
-0.8
SPD
+2.9
Grüne
+1.8
Infratest dimap – 1182 respondents – 14.03.2024-18.03.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Thuringia is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Thuringia from Infratest dimap shows the following results: AfD 29%, CDU 20%, Die Linke 16%, BSW 15%, SPD 9% and Grüne 5%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, Die Linke might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Prof. Dr. Mario Voigt is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU, SPD and BSW. With 46.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1182 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (14.03.2024 - 18.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Majority requires 45 seats
Linke
15
17%
SPD
8
9.1%
Grüne
5
5.7%
BSW
14
15.9%
CDU
19
21.6%
AfD
27
30.7%
AfD + Die Linke + BSW
63.6%
CDU + Die Linke + BSW
54.5%
CDU + Die Linke + SPD + Grüne
53.4%
AfD + CDU
52.3%
CDU + BSW + SPD + Grüne
52.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 14.03.2024 and 18.03.2024 among 1182 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 29%, CDU 20%, Die Linke 16%, BSW 15%, SPD 9% and Grüne 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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