Thuringia: Poll by INSA from 18.03.2024

Polling data

AfD
31.0
±0.0
CDU
21.0
+1.0
Linke
18.0
+3.0
BSW
13.0
-4.0
SPD
6.0
±0.0
Grüne
5.0
±0.0
FDP
2.0
-1.0
WU
1.0
+1.0
Others
3.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
AfD
-1.8
CDU
-2.6
Linke
+4.9
BSW
-2.8
SPD
-0.1
Grüne
+1.8
FDP
+0.9
WU
+0.4
INSA – 1000 respondents – 11.03.2024-18.03.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Thuringia is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 43% of election polls, INSA rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 36% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Thuringia from INSA shows the following results: AfD 31%, CDU 21%, Die Linke 18%, BSW 13%, SPD 6%, Grüne 5%, FDP 2% and WerteUnion 1%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, Die Linke might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.9 growth since the last election. BSW, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Prof. Dr. Mario Voigt is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU, SPD and BSW. With 42.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (11.03.2024 - 18.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Majority requires 45 seats
Linke
17
19.3%
SPD
6
6.8%
Grüne
5
5.7%
BSW
12
13.6%
CDU
19
21.6%
AfD
29
33%
AfD + CDU
54.5%
CDU + Die Linke + BSW
54.5%
CDU + Die Linke + SPD + Grüne
53.4%
AfD + Die Linke
52.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 11.03.2024 and 18.03.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 31%, CDU 21%, Die Linke 18%, BSW 13%, SPD 6%, Grüne 5%, FDP 2% and WerteUnion 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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