Berlin
Election trend
Parties

Berlin: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 31.07.2021

Polling data

SPD
24.0
+3.0
CDU
18.0
-2.0
Grüne
15.5
-0.5
Linke
15.0
+1.0
AfD
9.0
±0.0
FDP
9.0
-1.5
Sonst.
9.5
±0.0
Development since the last election on 12.02.2023
SPD
+5.6
CDU
-10.2
Grüne
-2.9
Linke
+2.8
AfD
-0.1
FDP
+4.4
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 2420 respondents – 24.07.2021-31.07.2021
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Berlin is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Berlin - The latest poll for the State election in Berlin from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: SPD 24%, CDU 18%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15.5%, Die Linke 15%, AfD 9% and FDP 9%. If an election were held in Berlin this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.6 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Franziska Giffey is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 46.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 2420 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (24.07.2021 - 31.07.2021).

Coalition possibilities

130
Linke
22
SPD
34
Grüne
22
FDP
13
CDU
26
AfD
13
Majority requires 66 seats
SPD + CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
82
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
78
SPD + CDU + FDP
73
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
69
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
61
SPD + CDU
60

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Berlin was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 24.07.2021 and 31.07.2021 among 2420 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 24%, CDU 18%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15.5%, Die Linke 15%, AfD 9% and FDP 9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.