Berlin
Election trend
Parties

Berlin: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 24.08.2021

Polling data

SPD
24.5
+0.5
Grüne
15.5
±0.0
CDU
15.0
-3.0
Linke
15.0
±0.0
AfD
11.0
+2.0
FDP
9.5
+0.5
Sonst.
9.5
±0.0
Development since the last election on 12.02.2023
SPD
+6.1
Grüne
-2.9
CDU
-13.2
Linke
+2.8
AfD
+1.9
FDP
+4.9
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1050 respondents – 23.08.2021-24.08.2021
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Berlin is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Berlin - The latest poll for the State election in Berlin from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: SPD 24.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15.5%, CDU 15%, Die Linke 15%, AfD 11% and FDP 9.5%. If an election were held in Berlin this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.1 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-13.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Franziska Giffey is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 43.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1050 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (23.08.2021 - 24.08.2021).

Coalition possibilities

130
Linke
21
SPD
35
Grüne
22
FDP
14
CDU
22
AfD
16
Majority requires 66 seats
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU
79
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
78
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
71
SPD + CDU + FDP
71

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Berlin was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 23.08.2021 and 24.08.2021 among 1050 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 24.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15.5%, CDU 15%, Die Linke 15%, AfD 11% and FDP 9.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.