Latest polls from Market/Paul Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Market/Paul Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.3 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Market/Paul Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft's average ranking is 3.0.
1x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
Rating of parties
Institute often rates FPÖ higher
In 35% of election polls, Market/Paul Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft rates FPÖ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates NEOS higher
In 30% of election polls, Market/Paul Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft rates NEOS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.