Latest polls from Forsa
Germany
New
3 days ago
CDU/CSU
29
SPD
19
Grüne
18
AfD
14
FDP
6
Linke
4
Others
10
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Forsa pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.3 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Forsa's average ranking is 3.7.
1x the most accurate prediction
2
2x the second best prediction
3
1x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
1x on rank 5
6
1x on rank 6
7
1x on rank 7
Rating of parties
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 39% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Forsa for RTL & n-tv
The Forsa Institute was founded in 1984 and regularly conducts polls published by RTL and n-tv. Forsa says it uses computer-assisted telephone and personal interviews as well as online panels to gather opinions. In the past, there have been repeated controversies surrounding surveys conducted by Forsa due to inaccurate questions.