Hamburg: Poll by Policy Matters from 11.06.2020

Hamburg: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
39.0
+9.0
Grüne
23.0
+1.0
CDU
13.0
-3.0
Linke
10.0
-1.0
AfD
6.0
-4.0
FDP
5.0
-4.0
Others
4.0
+2.0
Development since the last election on 02.03.2025
SPD
+5.5
Grüne
+4.5
CDU
-6.8
Linke
-1.2
AfD
-1.5
FDP
+2.7
Policy Matters – 1020 respondents – 02.06.2020-11.06.2020

Next election: 2030

The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2030.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hamburg from Policy Matters shows the following results: SPD 39%, Grüne 23%, CDU 13%, Die Linke 10%, AfD 6% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.5 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 64.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Policy Matters. For this purpose, 1020 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (02.06.2020 - 11.06.2020).

Coalition possibilities

121
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
13
10.7%
SPD
49
40.5%
Grüne
29
24%
FDP
6
5%
CDU
16
13.2%
AfD
8
6.6%
SPD + Grüne
64.5%
SPD + CDU
53.7%
SPD + Die Linke
51.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Policy Matters. The survey took place between 02.06.2020 and 11.06.2020 among 1020 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 39%, Grüne 23%, CDU 13%, Die Linke 10%, AfD 6% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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