Hamburg: Poll by Policy Matters from 16.05.2019

Hamburg: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
30.0
+2.0
Grüne
22.0
+7.0
CDU
16.0
-6.0
Linke
11.0
-3.0
AfD
10.0
±0.0
FDP
9.0
+1.0
Others
2.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 02.03.2025
SPD
-3.5
Grüne
+3.5
CDU
-3.8
Linke
-0.2
AfD
+2.5
FDP
+6.7
Policy Matters – 1002 respondents – 06.05.2019-16.05.2019

Next election: 2030

The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2030.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hamburg from Policy Matters shows the following results: SPD 30%, Grüne 22%, CDU 16%, Die Linke 11%, AfD 10% and FDP 9%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, FDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.7 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 52.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Policy Matters. For this purpose, 1002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (06.05.2019 - 16.05.2019).

Coalition possibilities

121
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
14
11.6%
SPD
37
30.6%
Grüne
27
22.3%
FDP
11
9.1%
CDU
20
16.5%
AfD
12
9.9%
SPD + CDU + FDP
56.2%
SPD + Grüne
52.9%
Grüne + CDU + FDP
47.9%
SPD + CDU
47.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Policy Matters. The survey took place between 06.05.2019 and 16.05.2019 among 1002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 30%, Grüne 22%, CDU 16%, Die Linke 11%, AfD 10% and FDP 9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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