Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Infratest dimap from 20.10.2022

Polling data

CDU
32.0
+2.0
SPD
23.0
-5.0
Grüne
22.0
+6.0
AfD
9.0
+1.0
FDP
5.0
-3.0
Sonst.
9.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU
SPD
-2.7
Grüne
+7.2
AfD
-1.3
FDP
-6.5
Infratest dimap – 1185 respondents – 17.10.2022-20.10.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CDU 32%, SPD 23%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 22%, AfD 9% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.2 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 55.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1185 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (17.10.2022 - 20.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

181
SPD
46
Grüne
44
FDP
10
CDU
63
AfD
18
Majority requires 91 seats
CDU + SPD
109
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
107
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
100
CDU + AfD + FDP
91
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
90

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 17.10.2022 and 20.10.2022 among 1185 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 32%, SPD 23%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 22%, AfD 9% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.