Germany: Poll by Forsa from 23.09.2021

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
25.0
±0.0
Union
22.0
±0.0
Grüne
17.0
±0.0
FDP
12.0
+1.0
AfD
10.0
-1.0
Linke
6.0
±0.0
FW
3.0
±0.0
Others
5.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
SPD
+8.6
Union
-6.5
Grüne
+5.4
FDP
+7.7
AfD
-10.8
Linke
-2.8
FW
+1.5
Forsa – 2002 respondents – 20.09.2021-23.09.2021

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 35% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Forsa shows the following results: SPD 25%, CDU/CSU 22%, Grüne 17%, FDP 12%, AfD 10%, Die Linke 6% and Freie Wähler 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.6 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 45.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 2002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (20.09.2021 - 23.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
41
6.5%
SPD
172
27.3%
Grüne
116
18.4%
FDP
82
13%
Union
151
24%
AfD
68
10.8%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
58.7%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
55.4%
SPD + Grüne + Die Linke
52.2%
SPD + CDU/CSU
51.3%
SPD + Grüne
45.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 20.09.2021 and 23.09.2021 among 2002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 25%, CDU/CSU 22%, Grüne 17%, FDP 12%, AfD 10%, Die Linke 6% and Freie Wähler 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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