Germany: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 24.09.2021

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
25.5
+0.5
Union
22.5
+1.0
Grüne
14.0
-1.0
FDP
12.0
-0.5
AfD
11.0
±0.0
Linke
7.0
+0.5
Others
8.0
-0.5
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
SPD
+9.1
Union
-6.0
Grüne
+2.4
FDP
+7.7
AfD
-9.8
Linke
-1.8
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1400 respondents – 22.09.2021-24.09.2021

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: SPD 25.5%, CDU/CSU 22.5%, Grüne 14%, FDP 12%, AfD 11% and Die Linke 7%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.1 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 43.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1400 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (22.09.2021 - 24.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
48
7.6%
SPD
175
27.8%
Grüne
96
15.2%
FDP
82
13%
Union
154
24.4%
AfD
75
11.9%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
56.0%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
52.7%
SPD + CDU/CSU
52.2%
SPD + Grüne + Die Linke
50.6%
CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD
49.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 22.09.2021 and 24.09.2021 among 1400 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 25.5%, CDU/CSU 22.5%, Grüne 14%, FDP 12%, AfD 11% and Die Linke 7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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