Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 11.09.2022

Polling data

CDU/CSU
25.5
+0.5
SPD
20.0
+2.0
Grüne
19.0
-7.0
AfD
14.0
±0.0
FDP
7.0
+1.0
Linke
5.5
+2.5
Sonst.
9.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+1.4
SPD
-5.7
Grüne
+4.2
AfD
+3.7
FDP
-4.5
Linke
+0.6
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1300 respondents – 09.09.2022-11.09.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU/CSU 25.5%, SPD 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19%, AfD 14%, FDP 7% and Die Linke 5.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.2 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 50.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1300 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (09.09.2022 - 11.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
37
SPD
139
Grüne
132
FDP
48
CDU/CSU
177
AfD
97
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
357
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
322
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
319
CDU/CSU + SPD
316
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
309
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
308

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 09.09.2022 and 11.09.2022 among 1300 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 25.5%, SPD 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19%, AfD 14%, FDP 7% and Die Linke 5.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.