Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by GMS from 20.09.2022

Polling data

CSU
40.0
±0.0
Grüne
18.0
-2.0
AfD
11.0
+3.0
FW
10.0
+1.0
SPD
8.0
-1.0
FDP
6.0
+1.0
Linke
2.0
±0.0
BP
1.0
±0.0
Sonst.
4.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CSU
Grüne
+3.2
AfD
+0.7
FW
+7.6
SPD
-17.7
FDP
-5.5
Linke
-2.9
BP
+0.9
GMS – 1004 respondents – 14.09.2022-20.09.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from GMS shows the following results: CSU 40%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 18%, AfD 11%, Freie Wähler 10%, SPD 8%, FDP 6%, Die Linke 2% and Bayernpartei 1%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Freie Wähler might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.6 growth since the last election. CSU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 34.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by GMS. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (14.09.2022 - 20.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

180
SPD
15
Grüne
35
FDP
11
CSU
79
FW
19
AfD
21
Majority requires 91 seats
CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
114
CSU + AfD
100
CSU + Freie Wähler
98
CSU + SPD
94
CSU + FDP
90

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bavaria was conducted by GMS. The survey took place between 14.09.2022 and 20.09.2022 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CSU 40%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 18%, AfD 11%, Freie Wähler 10%, SPD 8%, FDP 6%, Die Linke 2% and Bayernpartei 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.