Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by GMS from 25.10.2022

Polling data

CSU
39.0
-1.0
Grüne
18.0
±0.0
AfD
13.0
+2.0
FW
10.0
±0.0
SPD
9.0
+1.0
FDP
4.0
-2.0
Linke
2.0
±0.0
BP
1.0
±0.0
Sonst.
4.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CSU
Grüne
+3.2
AfD
+2.7
FW
+7.6
SPD
-16.7
FDP
-7.5
Linke
-2.9
BP
+0.9
GMS – 1002 respondents – 19.10.2022-25.10.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from GMS shows the following results: CSU 39%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 18%, AfD 13%, Freie Wähler 10%, SPD 9%, FDP 4%, Die Linke 2% and Bayernpartei 1%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Freie Wähler might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.6 growth since the last election. CSU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 30.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by GMS. For this purpose, 1002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (19.10.2022 - 25.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

180
SPD
18
Grüne
36
CSU
80
FW
20
AfD
26
Majority requires 91 seats
CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
116
CSU + AfD
106
CSU + Freie Wähler
100
CSU + SPD
98

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bavaria was conducted by GMS. The survey took place between 19.10.2022 and 25.10.2022 among 1002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CSU 39%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 18%, AfD 13%, Freie Wähler 10%, SPD 9%, FDP 4%, Die Linke 2% and Bayernpartei 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.