Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 19.01.2023

Polling data

SPD
42.5
+0.5
CDU
27.5
+1.0
AfD
12.0
-2.0
Grüne
5.0
+0.5
FDP
4.5
±0.0
Linke
1.5
-0.5
Sonst.
7.0
+0.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
SPD
+16.8
CDU
AfD
+1.7
Grüne
-9.8
FDP
-7.0
Linke
-3.4
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 853 respondents – 11.01.2023-19.01.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Low number of respondents
Only 853 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: SPD 42.5%, CDU 27.5%, AfD 12%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 5%, FDP 4.5% and Die Linke 1.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +16.8 growth since the last election. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 54.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 853 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (11.01.2023 - 19.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

51
SPD
25
Grüne
3
CDU
16
AfD
7
Majority requires 26 seats
SPD + CDU
41
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
28
SPD
25

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saarland was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 11.01.2023 and 19.01.2023 among 853 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 42.5%, CDU 27.5%, AfD 12%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 5%, FDP 4.5% and Die Linke 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.