Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Kantar from 31.01.2023

Polling data

CDU/CSU
25.0
-2.0
SPD
21.0
±0.0
Grüne
19.0
±0.0
AfD
15.0
+1.0
FDP
7.0
±0.0
Linke
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
8.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+0.9
SPD
-4.7
Grüne
+4.2
AfD
+4.7
FDP
-4.5
Linke
+0.1
Kantar – 1405 respondents – 25.01.2023-31.01.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Kantar shows the following results: CDU/CSU 25%, SPD 21%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19%, AfD 15%, FDP 7% and Die Linke 5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 51.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar. For this purpose, 1405 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (25.01.2023 - 31.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
34
SPD
144
Grüne
130
FDP
48
CDU/CSU
171
AfD
103
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
445
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
363
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
349
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
322
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
322
CDU/CSU + SPD
315
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
308
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
301

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Kantar. The survey took place between 25.01.2023 and 31.01.2023 among 1405 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 25%, SPD 21%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19%, AfD 15%, FDP 7% and Die Linke 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.