Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by INSA from 20.02.2023

Polling data

CDU/CSU
29.0
±0.0
SPD
21.5
+0.5
Grüne
15.5
-0.5
AfD
15.5
-0.5
FDP
7.0
±0.0
Linke
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
6.5
+0.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+4.9
SPD
-4.2
Grüne
+0.7
AfD
+5.2
FDP
-4.5
Linke
+0.1
INSA – 2006 respondents – 17.02.2023-20.02.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from INSA shows the following results: CDU/CSU 29%, SPD 21.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15.5%, AfD 15.5%, FDP 7% and Die Linke 5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.2 growth since the last election. FDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 47.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 2006 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (17.02.2023 - 20.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
33
SPD
145
Grüne
105
FDP
47
CDU/CSU
196
AfD
104
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
348
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
347
CDU/CSU + SPD
341
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
301
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
297

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 17.02.2023 and 20.02.2023 among 2006 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 29%, SPD 21.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15.5%, AfD 15.5%, FDP 7% and Die Linke 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.