Germany: Poll by Kantar from 25.10.2023

Polling data

Union
27.0
-1.0
AfD
21.0
+1.0
SPD
17.0
+1.0
Grüne
16.0
±0.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Linke
4.0
-1.0
Others
10.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
Union
+2.9
AfD
+10.7
SPD
-8.7
Grüne
+1.2
FDP
-6.5
Linke
-0.9
Kantar – 1418 respondents – 19.10.2023-25.10.2023

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 31.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Kantar shows the following results: CDU/CSU 27%, AfD 21%, SPD 17%, Grüne 16%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +10.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 38.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar. For this purpose, 1418 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (19.10.2023 - 25.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
125
19.8%
Grüne
117
18.6%
FDP
36
5.7%
Union
198
31.4%
AfD
154
24.4%
CDU/CSU + AfD
55.9%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
55.7%
CDU/CSU + SPD
51.3%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Kantar. The survey took place between 19.10.2023 and 25.10.2023 among 1418 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 27%, AfD 21%, SPD 17%, Grüne 16%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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