Germany: Poll by Verian from 21.11.2023

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
29.0
+1.0
AfD
20.0
±0.0
Grüne
17.0
+1.0
SPD
16.0
±0.0
FDP
5.0
-1.0
Linke
4.0
±0.0
Others
9.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+0.5
AfD
-0.8
Grüne
+5.4
SPD
-0.4
FDP
+0.7
Linke
-4.8
Verian – 1452 respondents – 14.11.2023-21.11.2023

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Verian shows the following results: CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 20%, Grüne 17%, SPD 16%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.4 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 51.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Verian. For this purpose, 1452 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (14.11.2023 - 21.11.2023).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
116
18.4%
Grüne
123
19.5%
FDP
36
5.7%
Union
210
33.3%
AfD
145
23%
CDU/CSU + AfD
56.3%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
52.9%
CDU/CSU + SPD
51.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Verian. The survey took place between 14.11.2023 and 21.11.2023 among 1452 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 20%, Grüne 17%, SPD 16%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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