Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Civey from 03.12.2023

Polling data

CDU
33.0
-1.0
AfD
33.0
+3.0
Linke
7.0
-3.0
Grüne
7.0
-2.0
SPD
7.0
-2.0
FW
3.0
-1.0
FDP
2.0
+1.0
Sonst.
8.0
+5.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU
AfD
+22.7
Linke
+2.1
Grüne
-7.8
SPD
-18.7
FW
+0.6
FDP
-9.5
Civey – 3002 respondents – 19.11.2023-03.12.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Civey shows the following results: CDU 33%, AfD 33%, Die Linke 7%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7%, SPD 7%, Freie Wähler 3% and FDP 2%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +22.7 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 16.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Civey. For this purpose, 3002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 14 days (19.11.2023 - 03.12.2023).

Coalition possibilities

120
Linke
10
SPD
10
Grüne
10
CDU
45
AfD
45
Majority requires 61 seats
AfD + CDU
90
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD
65
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
55
CDU + SPD
55

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Civey. The survey took place between 19.11.2023 and 03.12.2023 among 3002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 33%, AfD 33%, Die Linke 7%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7%, SPD 7%, Freie Wähler 3% and FDP 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.