Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Civey from 01.01.2024

Polling data

AfD
37.0
+4.0
CDU
33.0
±0.0
Linke
8.0
+1.0
Grüne
7.0
±0.0
SPD
3.0
-4.0
FW
3.0
±0.0
FDP
1.0
-1.0
Sonst.
8.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
AfD
+26.7
CDU
Linke
+3.1
Grüne
-7.8
SPD
-22.7
FW
+0.6
FDP
-10.5
Civey – 10007 respondents – 25.12.2023-01.01.2024
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Civey shows the following results: AfD 37%, CDU 33%, Die Linke 8%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7%, SPD 3%, Freie Wähler 3% and FDP 1%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +26.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-22.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 8.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Civey. For this purpose, 10007 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (25.12.2023 - 01.01.2024).

Coalition possibilities

120
Linke
11
Grüne
10
CDU
47
AfD
52
Majority requires 61 seats
AfD + CDU
99
AfD + Die Linke
63
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
57

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Civey. The survey took place between 25.12.2023 and 01.01.2024 among 10007 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 37%, CDU 33%, Die Linke 8%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7%, SPD 3%, Freie Wähler 3% and FDP 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.