Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 15.03.2024

Polling data

CDU
31.5
+1.0
AfD
31.0
+2.5
BSW
13.5
-2.0
Grüne
6.5
+1.0
SPD
6.0
+0.5
Linke
3.0
-3.0
FDP
1.5
-0.5
Sonst.
7.0
+0.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU
AfD
+20.7
BSW
Grüne
-8.3
SPD
-19.7
Linke
-1.9
FDP
-10.0
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1200 respondents – 06.03.2024-15.03.2024
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 31.5%, AfD 31%, BSW 13.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 6.5%, SPD 6%, Die Linke 3% and FDP 1.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +20.7 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 14.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1200 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (06.03.2024 - 15.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

120
SPD
8
Grüne
9
BSW
18
CDU
43
AfD
42
Majority requires 61 seats
CDU + AfD
85
CDU + BSW
61
AfD + BSW
60
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD
60

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 06.03.2024 and 15.03.2024 among 1200 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 31.5%, AfD 31%, BSW 13.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 6.5%, SPD 6%, Die Linke 3% and FDP 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.