Germany: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 20.03.2024

Polling data

CDU/CSU
29.0
±0.0
SPD
19.5
±0.0
AfD
15.0
±0.0
Grüne
14.0
±0.0
BSW
6.5
±0.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
Linke
3.5
±0.0
Sonst.
8.5
±0.0
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1300 respondents – 18.03.2024-20.03.2024
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates CDU/CSU lower
In 80% of election polls Institut Wahlkreisprognose rates CDU/CSU lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU/CSU 29%, SPD 19.5%, AfD 15%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 14%, BSW 6.5%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 3.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.9 growth since the last election. FDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 39.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1300 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (18.03.2024 - 20.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
146
Grüne
105
BSW
48
CDU/CSU
218
AfD
113
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + SPD
364
CDU/CSU + AfD
331
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
323

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 18.03.2024 and 20.03.2024 among 1300 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 29%, SPD 19.5%, AfD 15%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 14%, BSW 6.5%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 3.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.