Latest voting intention survey by Allensbach for the Bundestag election
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Germany conducted by Allensbach, the parties received the following results: CDU/CSU 27%, AfD 23.5%, SPD 16%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 10%, BSW 4% and FDP 3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1048 people during the period 09.04.2025 - 09.04.2025. The survey was commissioned by FAZ.
1048 participants
28.03.2025 - 09.04.2025
Allensbach
FAZ
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Seats in parliament
630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
71
11.3%
SPD
114
18.1%
Grüne
85
13.5%
Union
192
30.5%
AfD
168
26.7%
CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne
CDU/CSU + AfD
CDU/CSU + SPD
79
PolitPro Score
Allensbach achieves a score of 79/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Latest voting intention surveys by Allensbach for the federal states
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.1
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Allensbach pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.1 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.21
|
Parliamentary Election in Deutschland 2025 | 7/11 |
|
0.63
|
Parliamentary Election in Deutschland 2021 | 1/12 |
|
1.52
|
Parliamentary Election in Deutschland 2017 | 5/10 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.
Institut für Demoskopie Allensbach
The Institut für Demoskopie Allensbach, or Allensbach Institute for short, was founded in 1948 and tends to belong to the conservative spectrum. Despite statistically high error rates of two to three percentage points in opinion polls, the Allensbach Institute gives values for the parties in the decimal range in its Sunday poll. In 1992 and 1996, there was public criticism of polls on the state elections in Baden-Württemberg, in which the institute deliberately set the values of the party Die Republikaner much too low.