Polls and info about Allensbach

Latest polls from Allensbach

Accuracy in elections

1.5
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Allensbach pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.5 percentage points.
4.5
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Allensbach's average ranking is 4.5.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction

Rating of parties

Institute often rates CDU/CSU higher
In 54% of election polls, Allensbach rates CDU/CSU higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 45% of election polls, Allensbach rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
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